The Polycrisis Apocalypse Humanity Is Facing
On a central measure, 1.2 billion people (16% of humanity) live today where two or more survivability tiers bind on weak institutions; holding today's institutions fixed, warming lifts that to 2.8–4.5 billion by the 2090s, three in five of them in Africa. With 65 armed conflicts in 2025, the most since 1946, and an unsafe equilibrium that could outlast every past civilisation, the cheapest time to choose the buffered path is now.