H Heuristics Digital Reports
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Systems

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№ 2026-85 · November 2026 · 26 min

Addressing Interconnected Global Crises Through Coordinated Economic Development

Earlier progress in one system predicts faster later progress in others (9 of 42 pairs significant against 2 by chance, mean standardised coefficient +0.095, stable across four time windows), with water and sanitation, power and income the strongest leading systems and health almost isolated; lopsided development is associated with worse survival in the pandemic (−0.33 standard deviations of life expectancy against trend per standard deviation of imbalance) but not with growth risk or disaster mortality, and water and sanitation is the highest-leverage bottleneck in 47 of 124 countries.

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